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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Cardiff City Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cardiff Win

64%

Cardiff

1.57

22%

Draw

4.52

14%

Northampton

7.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Cardiff xG

Total xG

2.54

0.71

Northampton xG

64%
22%
14%
CardiffDrawNorthampton

1.57

64%

Home win

4.52

22%

Draw

7.10

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

49%

Cardiff

2.04

16%

Northampton

6.18

Win to Nil

31%

Cardiff

3.20

2%

Northampton

43.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.4 10.3 3.7 0.9 0.2
2 13.1 9.4 3.4 0.8 0.1
3 8.0 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 3.6 2.6 0.9 0.2
5 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.821
λ Away (xG) 0.715
Total xG 2.536
League avg home goals 1.362
League avg away goals 1.165
Cardiff attack strength 1.074
Cardiff defence strength 0.891
Northampton attack strength 0.688
Northampton defence strength 1.245
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 89