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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

Cardiff City Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cardiff Win

64%

Cardiff

1.57

21%

Draw

4.77

15%

Luton

6.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.7%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.97

Cardiff xG

Total xG

2.81

0.84

Luton xG

64%
21%
15%
CardiffDrawLuton

1.57

64%

Home win

4.77

21%

Draw

6.57

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

43%

Cardiff

2.32

14%

Luton

7.17

Win to Nil

28%

Cardiff

3.63

2%

Luton

47.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.9 10.0 4.2 1.2 0.2
2 11.7 9.8 4.1 1.2 0.2
3 7.7 6.4 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 3.8 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.970
λ Away (xG) 0.840
Total xG 2.810
League avg home goals 1.393
League avg away goals 1.137
Cardiff attack strength 1.289
Cardiff defence strength 0.972
Luton attack strength 0.760
Luton defence strength 1.096
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30