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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Stalemate at Cardiff's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Cardiff and Blackpool finished level at 0-0 at Cardiff City Stadium, Regular Season - 39, in the League One. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Cardiff 2.29 xG and Blackpool 1.15 xG, a combined 3.43. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Cardiff fell 2.3 short of their projected output. Blackpool landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Cardiff attack 1.20 / defence 1.08 against Blackpool attack 0.89 / defence 1.35, drawn from 38/84 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Cardiff 63% | Draw 19% | Blackpool 18%, with Cardiff to win its most likely call at 63%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 19% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 67%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 86% and missed. Over 3.5 was 45% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Cardiff 50%, Blackpool 61%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Cardiff's trading profile (84 games, 42 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not.

Blackpool's trading profile (84 games, 42 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Cardiff 1.43 PPG, Blackpool 1.29 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Cardiff (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.57 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.17 average — tighter than their form line. Blackpool (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.29 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.57 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights