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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Mon 29 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burton Albion Win

37%

Burton Albion

2.69

27%

Draw

3.77

36%

Wigan

2.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

2.58

1.28

Wigan xG

37%
27%
36%
Burton AlbionDrawWigan

2.69

37%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

2.75

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

28%

Burton Albion

3.60

27%

Wigan

3.66

Win to Nil

10%

Burton Albion

9.68

10%

Wigan

10.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 9.7 6.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 9.9 12.6 8.1 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.4 8.2 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 3.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.298
λ Away (xG) 1.280
Total xG 2.578
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.149
Burton Albion attack strength 0.928
Burton Albion defence strength 1.119
Wigan attack strength 0.996
Wigan defence strength 1.043
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67