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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rotherham Win

31%

Burton Albion

3.27

35%

Draw

2.89

35%

Rotherham

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

17.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

16.1%

Away win

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.82

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

1.72

0.90

Rotherham xG

31%
35%
35%
Burton AlbionDrawRotherham

3.27

31%

Home win

2.89

35%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

51%

Over 1.5

1.96

49%

Under 1.5

2.04

25%

Over 2.5

4.00

75%

Under 2.5

1.33

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.98

66%

BTTS No

1.51

Clean Sheet

41%

Burton Albion

2.45

44%

Rotherham

2.27

Win to Nil

12%

Burton Albion

8.01

15%

Rotherham

6.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.9 16.1 7.2 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 14.7 13.2 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 6.0 5.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.2
4 0.3 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.821
λ Away (xG) 0.897
Total xG 1.718
League avg home goals 1.255
League avg away goals 1.179
Burton Albion attack strength 0.708
Burton Albion defence strength 1.253
Rotherham attack strength 0.607
Rotherham defence strength 0.925
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 25