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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Tue 17 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

37%

Burton Albion

2.70

25%

Draw

4.01

38%

Reading

2.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

2.87

1.45

Reading xG

37%
25%
38%
Burton AlbionDrawReading

2.70

37%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

2.62

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

24%

Burton Albion

4.25

24%

Reading

4.15

Win to Nil

9%

Burton Albion

11.51

9%

Reading

10.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 8.2 5.9 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 8.1 11.7 8.4 4.1 1.5 0.4
2 5.7 8.3 6.0 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 2.7 3.9 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.423
λ Away (xG) 1.448
Total xG 2.871
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.170
Burton Albion attack strength 0.945
Burton Albion defence strength 1.033
Reading attack strength 1.198
Reading defence strength 1.071
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 83 / 83