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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Tue 28 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

33%

Burton Albion

3.03

25%

Draw

4.00

42%

Reading

2.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

2.87

1.53

Reading xG

33%
25%
42%
Burton AlbionDrawReading

3.03

33%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

2.38

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

22%

Burton Albion

4.64

26%

Reading

3.79

Win to Nil

7%

Burton Albion

14.09

11%

Reading

9.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 8.7 6.7 3.4 1.3 0.4
1 7.6 11.6 8.9 4.6 1.8 0.5
2 5.0 7.7 5.9 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 2.2 3.4 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.333
λ Away (xG) 1.535
Total xG 2.868
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 1.169
Burton Albion attack strength 0.887
Burton Albion defence strength 1.342
Reading attack strength 0.978
Reading defence strength 1.175
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 72