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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

12:30

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burton Albion Win

38%

Burton Albion

2.64

28%

Draw

3.60

34%

Northampton

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

2.52

1.23

Northampton xG

38%
28%
34%
Burton AlbionDrawNorthampton

2.64

38%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

2.90

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

29%

Burton Albion

3.40

27%

Northampton

3.65

Win to Nil

11%

Burton Albion

9.00

9%

Northampton

10.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 9.8 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.4 12.8 7.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.8 8.3 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 2.9 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.296
λ Away (xG) 1.225
Total xG 2.521
League avg home goals 1.289
League avg away goals 1.175
Burton Albion attack strength 0.747
Burton Albion defence strength 1.277
Northampton attack strength 0.816
Northampton defence strength 1.346
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 70