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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burton Albion Win

39%

Burton Albion

2.53

24%

Draw

4.23

37%

Mansfield Town

2.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

3.22

1.58

Mansfield Town xG

39%
24%
37%
Burton AlbionDrawMansfield Town

2.53

39%

Home win

4.23

24%

Draw

2.71

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.78

Clean Sheet

21%

Burton Albion

4.85

19%

Mansfield Town

5.15

Win to Nil

8%

Burton Albion

12.28

7%

Mansfield Town

13.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 6.3 5.0 2.6 1.0 0.3
1 6.6 10.4 8.2 4.3 1.7 0.5
2 5.4 8.5 6.7 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 2.9 4.6 3.7 1.9 0.8 0.2
4 1.2 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.639
λ Away (xG) 1.578
Total xG 3.217
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.158
Burton Albion attack strength 0.985
Burton Albion defence strength 1.280
Mansfield Town attack strength 1.064
Mansfield Town defence strength 1.299
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 79 / 32