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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burton Albion Win

46%

Burton Albion

2.18

28%

Draw

3.62

26%

Luton

3.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

2.30

0.95

Luton xG

46%
28%
26%
Burton AlbionDrawLuton

2.18

46%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.78

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

39%

Burton Albion

2.60

26%

Luton

3.86

Win to Nil

18%

Burton Albion

5.65

7%

Luton

14.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 9.5 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 13.5 12.9 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 8.7 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.1 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.351
λ Away (xG) 0.954
Total xG 2.305
League avg home goals 1.349
League avg away goals 1.023
Burton Albion attack strength 0.944
Burton Albion defence strength 0.959
Luton attack strength 0.972
Luton defence strength 1.061
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 5