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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Birmingham Win

36%

Burton Albion

2.81

27%

Draw

3.65

37%

Birmingham

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

2.56

1.30

Birmingham xG

36%
27%
37%
Burton AlbionDrawBirmingham

2.81

36%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

27%

Burton Albion

3.65

28%

Birmingham

3.55

Win to Nil

10%

Burton Albion

10.26

10%

Birmingham

9.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 10.0 6.5 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 9.8 12.7 8.2 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.2 8.0 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.6 3.4 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.266
λ Away (xG) 1.296
Total xG 2.562
League avg home goals 1.261
League avg away goals 1.152
Burton Albion attack strength 1.093
Burton Albion defence strength 1.076
Birmingham attack strength 1.045
Birmingham defence strength 0.918
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 41