Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Fri 3 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burton Albion Win

43%

Burton Albion

2.32

23%

Draw

4.26

33%

Barnsley

2.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

3.15

1.47

Barnsley xG

43%
23%
33%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley

2.32

43%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

2.99

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

23%

Burton Albion

4.33

18%

Barnsley

5.41

Win to Nil

10%

Burton Albion

10.05

6%

Barnsley

16.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 6.3 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 7.2 10.6 7.7 3.8 1.4 0.4
2 6.1 8.9 6.5 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 3.4 5.0 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.689
λ Away (xG) 1.465
Total xG 3.154
League avg home goals 1.420
League avg away goals 1.122
Burton Albion attack strength 0.949
Burton Albion defence strength 1.103
Barnsley attack strength 1.183
Barnsley defence strength 1.253
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 86 / 83