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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Memorial Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol Rovers Win

44%

Bristol Rovers

2.27

28%

Draw

3.53

28%

Stevenage

3.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

0 – 0

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Bristol Rovers xG

Total xG

2.35

1.01

Stevenage xG

44%
28%
28%
Bristol RoversDrawStevenage

2.27

44%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

3.61

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

37%

Bristol Rovers

2.73

26%

Stevenage

3.83

Win to Nil

16%

Bristol Rovers

6.21

7%

Stevenage

13.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 9.6 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.8 12.9 6.5 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.6 8.7 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.8 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.342
λ Away (xG) 1.006
Total xG 2.348
League avg home goals 1.261
League avg away goals 1.152
Bristol Rovers attack strength 1.107
Bristol Rovers defence strength 1.255
Stevenage attack strength 0.696
Stevenage defence strength 0.961
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 89 / 88