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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 42

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Memorial Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol Rovers Win

43%

Bristol Rovers

2.32

27%

Draw

3.73

30%

Exeter City

3.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Bristol Rovers xG

Total xG

2.48

1.10

Exeter City xG

43%
27%
30%
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City

2.32

43%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

3.33

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

33%

Bristol Rovers

3.00

25%

Exeter City

3.96

Win to Nil

14%

Bristol Rovers

6.96

8%

Exeter City

13.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 9.2 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.6 12.7 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 8.8 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.377
λ Away (xG) 1.100
Total xG 2.477
League avg home goals 1.272
League avg away goals 1.135
Bristol Rovers attack strength 1.147
Bristol Rovers defence strength 1.218
Exeter City attack strength 0.796
Exeter City defence strength 0.944
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 87 / 87