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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Tue 1 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Memorial Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol Rovers Win

39%

Bristol Rovers

2.59

26%

Draw

3.79

35%

Birmingham

2.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Bristol Rovers xG

Total xG

2.70

1.31

Birmingham xG

39%
26%
35%
Bristol RoversDrawBirmingham

2.59

39%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

2.86

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

27%

Bristol Rovers

3.71

25%

Birmingham

4.01

Win to Nil

10%

Bristol Rovers

9.60

9%

Birmingham

11.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.8 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.3 12.2 8.0 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.5 8.5 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.0 3.9 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.388
λ Away (xG) 1.310
Total xG 2.698
League avg home goals 1.279
League avg away goals 1.118
Bristol Rovers attack strength 1.179
Bristol Rovers defence strength 1.196
Birmingham attack strength 0.980
Birmingham defence strength 0.921
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 37