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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Valley Parade

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bradford Win

37%

Bradford

2.68

28%

Draw

3.52

34%

Luton

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Bradford xG

Total xG

2.42

1.18

Luton xG

37%
28%
34%
BradfordDrawLuton

2.68

37%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

31%

Bradford

3.25

29%

Luton

3.47

Win to Nil

11%

Bradford

8.70

10%

Luton

10.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 10.4 6.2 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.0 13.0 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.9 8.1 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.8 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.245
λ Away (xG) 1.179
Total xG 2.424
League avg home goals 1.327
League avg away goals 1.082
Bradford attack strength 0.993
Bradford defence strength 1.105
Luton attack strength 0.986
Luton defence strength 0.944
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 2 / 2