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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Tue 8 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

48%

Bolton

2.07

25%

Draw

3.96

27%

Rotherham

3.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.65

1.09

Rotherham xG

48%
25%
27%
BoltonDrawRotherham

2.07

48%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

3.77

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.90

48%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

34%

Bolton

2.98

21%

Rotherham

4.77

Win to Nil

16%

Bolton

6.18

6%

Rotherham

17.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 7.7 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 11.0 12.0 6.6 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.6 9.4 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.5 4.9 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.562
λ Away (xG) 1.092
Total xG 2.654
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.127
Bolton attack strength 1.208
Bolton defence strength 1.107
Rotherham attack strength 0.875
Rotherham defence strength 1.008
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 86 / 40