Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Wed 20 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

46%

Bolton

2.17

27%

Draw

3.67

27%

Reading

3.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

9.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.35

0.98

Reading xG

46%
27%
27%
BoltonDrawReading

2.17

46%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

3.76

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.15

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

38%

Bolton

2.65

25%

Reading

3.97

Win to Nil

17%

Bolton

5.75

7%

Reading

14.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 9.3 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 13.1 12.8 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 8.8 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.1 4.0 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.379
λ Away (xG) 0.976
Total xG 2.355
League avg home goals 1.316
League avg away goals 1.068
Bolton attack strength 1.036
Bolton defence strength 0.928
Reading attack strength 0.984
Reading defence strength 1.011
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49