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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 4 Jan 2026

12:00

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

64%

Bolton

1.56

21%

Draw

4.70

14%

Northampton

6.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.69

0.78

Northampton xG

64%
21%
14%
BoltonDrawNorthampton

1.56

64%

Home win

4.70

21%

Draw

6.90

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

46%

Bolton

2.18

15%

Northampton

6.79

Win to Nil

29%

Bolton

3.39

2%

Northampton

46.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.9 10.1 3.9 1.0 0.2
2 12.4 9.7 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 7.9 6.2 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 3.8 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.916
λ Away (xG) 0.779
Total xG 2.695
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.119
Bolton attack strength 1.129
Bolton defence strength 0.815
Northampton attack strength 0.854
Northampton defence strength 1.260
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69