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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Mon 29 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

58%

Bolton

1.72

23%

Draw

4.31

19%

Mansfield Town

5.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.66

0.89

Mansfield Town xG

58%
23%
19%
BoltonDrawMansfield Town

1.72

58%

Home win

4.31

23%

Draw

5.37

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

41%

Bolton

2.43

17%

Mansfield Town

5.87

Win to Nil

24%

Bolton

4.18

3%

Mansfield Town

31.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 6.2 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.4 11.0 4.9 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.8 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.5 5.8 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.9 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.770
λ Away (xG) 0.889
Total xG 2.659
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.149
Bolton attack strength 1.252
Bolton defence strength 0.793
Mansfield Town attack strength 0.976
Mansfield Town defence strength 1.054
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67