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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

44%

Bolton

2.29

27%

Draw

3.77

30%

Lincoln

3.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.52

1.12

Lincoln xG

44%
27%
30%
BoltonDrawLincoln

2.29

44%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

3.35

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

33%

Bolton

3.05

25%

Lincoln

4.08

Win to Nil

14%

Bolton

7.00

7%

Lincoln

13.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 9.0 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.3 12.6 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.9 8.9 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.2 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.406
λ Away (xG) 1.116
Total xG 2.522
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.158
Bolton attack strength 1.120
Bolton defence strength 1.178
Lincoln attack strength 0.817
Lincoln defence strength 0.986
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 68