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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

61%

Bolton

1.65

26%

Draw

3.89

14%

Exeter City

7.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

19.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.4%

Home win

0 – 0

12.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.07

0.56

Exeter City xG

61%
26%
14%
BoltonDrawExeter City

1.65

61%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

7.39

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

33%

BTTS Yes

3.00

67%

BTTS No

1.50

Clean Sheet

57%

Bolton

1.75

22%

Exeter City

4.54

Win to Nil

35%

Bolton

2.88

3%

Exeter City

33.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.6 7.0 2.0 0.4 0.1
1 19.1 10.6 3.0 0.6 0.1
2 14.4 8.1 2.2 0.4 0.1
3 7.3 4.1 1.1 0.2
4 2.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.513
λ Away (xG) 0.558
Total xG 2.071
League avg home goals 1.236
League avg away goals 1.085
Bolton attack strength 1.264
Bolton defence strength 0.720
Exeter City attack strength 0.713
Exeter City defence strength 0.969
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64