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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Tue 17 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

61%

Bolton

1.63

21%

Draw

4.80

18%

Doncaster

5.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

10.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

Bolton xG

Total xG

3.04

1.00

Doncaster xG

61%
21%
18%
BoltonDrawDoncaster

1.63

61%

Home win

4.80

21%

Draw

5.58

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

37%

Bolton

2.73

13%

Doncaster

7.67

Win to Nil

22%

Bolton

4.46

2%

Doncaster

42.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 4.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.7 9.8 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 10.0 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.7 6.8 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.4 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.037
λ Away (xG) 1.004
Total xG 3.041
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.170
Bolton attack strength 1.174
Bolton defence strength 1.013
Doncaster attack strength 0.847
Doncaster defence strength 1.235
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 83 / 36