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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

73%

Bolton

1.37

17%

Draw

5.84

10%

Bristol Rovers

10.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

3 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.32

Bolton xG

Total xG

3.06

0.73

Bristol Rovers xG

73%
17%
BoltonDrawBristol Rovers

1.37

73%

Home win

5.84

17%

Draw

10.02

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

48%

Bolton

2.09

10%

Bristol Rovers

10.21

Win to Nil

35%

Bolton

2.86

1%

Bristol Rovers

102.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.9 8.0 2.9 0.7 0.1
2 12.7 9.3 3.4 0.8 0.2
3 9.8 7.2 2.7 0.6 0.1
4 5.7 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 2.6 1.9 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.323
λ Away (xG) 0.735
Total xG 3.058
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.112
Bolton attack strength 1.284
Bolton defence strength 1.177
Bristol Rovers attack strength 0.562
Bristol Rovers defence strength 1.410
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 86