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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

15:01

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

61%

Bolton

1.65

22%

Draw

4.47

17%

Barnsley

5.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.69

0.85

Barnsley xG

61%
22%
17%
BoltonDrawBarnsley

1.65

61%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

5.92

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

43%

Bolton

2.34

16%

Barnsley

6.30

Win to Nil

26%

Bolton

3.86

3%

Barnsley

37.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 5.8 2.5 0.7 0.1
1 12.5 10.6 4.5 1.3 0.3
2 11.5 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 7.0 6.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
4 3.2 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.841
λ Away (xG) 0.851
Total xG 2.692
League avg home goals 1.354
League avg away goals 1.106
Bolton attack strength 1.033
Bolton defence strength 0.789
Barnsley attack strength 0.975
Barnsley defence strength 1.316
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 72