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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnsley Win

36%

Bolton

2.78

25%

Draw

3.97

39%

Barnsley

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.81

1.44

Barnsley xG

36%
25%
39%
BoltonDrawBarnsley

2.78

36%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

24%

Bolton

4.20

25%

Barnsley

3.95

Win to Nil

9%

Bolton

11.69

10%

Barnsley

10.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 8.7 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.3
1 8.3 11.9 8.5 4.1 1.5 0.4
2 5.7 8.2 5.9 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.6 3.7 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.373
λ Away (xG) 1.436
Total xG 2.809
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.161
Bolton attack strength 1.131
Bolton defence strength 1.146
Barnsley attack strength 1.079
Barnsley defence strength 0.954
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 67