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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Birmingham Win
55%
1.82
32%
3.12
13%
7.78
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
23.2%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
19.1%
Draw
2 – 0
14.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.21
Birmingham xG
Total xG
1.65
0.44
Stevenage xG
BirminghamDrawStevenage
1.82
55%
Home win
3.12
32%
Draw
7.78
13%
Away win
Goals Markets
49%
Over 1.5
2.04
51%
Under 1.5
1.96
23%
Over 2.5
4.35
77%
Under 2.5
1.30
9%
Over 3.5
11.11
91%
Under 3.5
1.10
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
26%
BTTS Yes
3.90
74%
BTTS No
1.34
Clean Sheet
64%
1.55
30%
3.36
Win to Nil
35%
2.82
4%
26.13
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.1 | 8.4 | 1.9 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 1 | 23.2 | 10.2 | 2.3 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 2 | 14.1 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 3 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.212
λ Away (xG)
0.441
Total xG
1.653
League avg home goals
1.240
League avg away goals
1.120
Birmingham attack strength
1.148
Birmingham defence strength
0.514
Stevenage attack strength
0.765
Stevenage defence strength
0.851
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
34 / 81