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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Birmingham Win
67%
1.50
23%
4.41
10%
9.55
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
17.7%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
15.6%
Home win
0 – 0
10.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.75
Birmingham xG
Total xG
2.29
0.54
Shrewsbury xG
BirminghamDrawShrewsbury
1.50
67%
Home win
4.41
23%
Draw
9.55
10%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
35%
BTTS Yes
2.89
65%
BTTS No
1.53
Clean Sheet
58%
1.71
17%
5.78
Win to Nil
39%
2.56
2%
55.24
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.1 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 1 | 17.7 | 9.5 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 15.6 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 9.1 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.755
λ Away (xG)
0.537
Total xG
2.292
League avg home goals
1.273
League avg away goals
1.096
Birmingham attack strength
1.163
Birmingham defence strength
0.591
Shrewsbury attack strength
0.829
Shrewsbury defence strength
1.185
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
36 / 83