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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Birmingham Win

60%

Birmingham

1.66

26%

Draw

3.83

14%

Rotherham

7.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

19.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.3%

Home win

0 – 0

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Birmingham xG

Total xG

2.04

0.56

Rotherham xG

60%
26%
14%
BirminghamDrawRotherham

1.66

60%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

7.25

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

33%

BTTS Yes

3.03

67%

BTTS No

1.49

Clean Sheet

57%

Birmingham

1.75

23%

Rotherham

4.42

Win to Nil

34%

Birmingham

2.91

3%

Rotherham

32.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0 7.2 2.0 0.4 0.1
1 19.3 10.7 3.0 0.6 0.1
2 14.3 8.0 2.2 0.4 0.1
3 7.1 3.9 1.1 0.2
4 2.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.486
λ Away (xG) 0.557
Total xG 2.043
League avg home goals 1.287
League avg away goals 1.186
Birmingham attack strength 0.998
Birmingham defence strength 0.680
Rotherham attack strength 0.691
Rotherham defence strength 1.157
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 27