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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Birmingham Win

69%

Birmingham

1.45

19%

Draw

5.29

12%

Mansfield Town

8.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.22

Birmingham xG

Total xG

3.04

0.82

Mansfield Town xG

69%
19%
12%
BirminghamDrawMansfield Town

1.45

69%

Home win

5.29

19%

Draw

8.32

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

44%

Birmingham

2.26

11%

Mansfield Town

9.24

Win to Nil

31%

Birmingham

3.28

1%

Mansfield Town

76.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 3.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 10.6 8.7 3.5 1.0 0.2
2 11.8 9.7 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 8.8 7.2 2.9 0.8 0.2
4 4.9 4.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
5 2.2 1.8 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.224
λ Away (xG) 0.817
Total xG 3.041
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.173
Birmingham attack strength 1.299
Birmingham defence strength 0.670
Mansfield Town attack strength 1.040
Mansfield Town defence strength 1.335
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43