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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Birmingham Win

64%

Birmingham

1.57

24%

Draw

4.20

13%

Lincoln

7.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.7%

Home win

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Birmingham xG

Total xG

2.46

0.67

Lincoln xG

64%
24%
13%
BirminghamDrawLincoln

1.57

64%

Home win

4.20

24%

Draw

7.96

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

51%

Birmingham

1.95

17%

Lincoln

6.00

Win to Nil

33%

Birmingham

3.07

2%

Lincoln

47.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 5.7 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 15.3 10.2 3.4 0.8 0.1
2 13.7 9.2 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 8.2 5.5 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 3.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
5 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.792
λ Away (xG) 0.668
Total xG 2.460
League avg home goals 1.262
League avg away goals 1.139
Birmingham attack strength 1.179
Birmingham defence strength 0.545
Lincoln attack strength 1.077
Lincoln defence strength 1.205
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 81