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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Birmingham Win
54%
1.85
27%
3.65
19%
5.38
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
2 – 0
11.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.46
Birmingham xG
Total xG
2.20
0.74
Exeter City xG
BirminghamDrawExeter City
1.85
54%
Home win
3.65
27%
Draw
5.38
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.46
59%
BTTS No
1.68
Clean Sheet
48%
2.10
23%
4.32
Win to Nil
26%
3.88
4%
23.22
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.0 | 8.2 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 16.1 | 12.0 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.8 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.463
λ Away (xG)
0.741
Total xG
2.204
League avg home goals
1.243
League avg away goals
1.151
Birmingham attack strength
1.049
Birmingham defence strength
0.717
Exeter City attack strength
0.898
Exeter City defence strength
1.123
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
23 / 70