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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Birmingham Win

54%

Birmingham

1.86

25%

Draw

3.94

21%

Charlton

4.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Birmingham xG

Total xG

2.57

0.93

Charlton xG

54%
25%
21%
BirminghamDrawCharlton

1.86

54%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

4.78

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

39%

Birmingham

2.53

19%

Charlton

5.16

Win to Nil

21%

Birmingham

4.72

4%

Charlton

24.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 7.1 3.3 1.0 0.2
1 12.5 11.7 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.6 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.6 5.2 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 2.3 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.641
λ Away (xG) 0.930
Total xG 2.571
League avg home goals 1.302
League avg away goals 1.175
Birmingham attack strength 1.189
Birmingham defence strength 0.690
Charlton attack strength 1.148
Charlton defence strength 1.060
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 76