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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Birmingham Win
52%
1.91
28%
3.59
20%
5.06
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.8%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
12.2%
Draw
1 – 1
12.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.38
Birmingham xG
Total xG
2.10
0.73
Burton Albion xG
BirminghamDrawBurton Albion
1.91
52%
Home win
3.59
28%
Draw
5.06
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
62%
Over 1.5
1.61
38%
Under 1.5
2.63
35%
Over 2.5
2.86
65%
Under 2.5
1.54
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.59
61%
BTTS No
1.63
Clean Sheet
48%
2.07
25%
3.96
Win to Nil
25%
3.95
5%
20.06
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.2 | 8.9 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 16.8 | 12.2 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.6 | 8.4 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.377
λ Away (xG)
0.727
Total xG
2.104
League avg home goals
1.273
League avg away goals
1.161
Birmingham attack strength
1.144
Birmingham defence strength
0.808
Burton Albion attack strength
0.775
Burton Albion defence strength
0.945
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
19 / 66