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Birmingham vs Bristol Rovers – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Birmingham Win

59%

Birmingham

1.70

24%

Draw

4.26

18%

Bristol Rovers

5.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Birmingham xG

Total xG

2.56

0.83

Bristol Rovers xG

59%
24%
18%
BirminghamDrawBristol Rovers

1.70

59%

Home win

4.26

24%

Draw

5.66

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

44%

Birmingham

2.29

18%

Bristol Rovers

5.65

Win to Nil

26%

Birmingham

3.89

3%

Bristol Rovers

31.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 6.4 2.7 0.7 0.2
1 13.4 11.1 4.6 1.3 0.3
2 11.6 9.6 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 6.7 5.5 2.3 0.6 0.1
4 2.9 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.731
λ Away (xG) 0.828
Total xG 2.559
League avg home goals 1.304
League avg away goals 1.097
Birmingham attack strength 1.131
Birmingham defence strength 0.870
Bristol Rovers attack strength 0.868
Bristol Rovers defence strength 1.173
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 64