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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Birmingham Win
60%
1.66
24%
4.15
16%
6.38
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.0%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
12.7%
Home win
1 – 1
11.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.69
Birmingham xG
Total xG
2.42
0.73
Barnsley xG
BirminghamDrawBarnsley
1.66
60%
Home win
4.15
24%
Draw
6.38
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
70%
Over 1.5
1.43
30%
Under 1.5
3.33
44%
Over 2.5
2.27
56%
Under 2.5
1.79
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.36
58%
BTTS No
1.74
Clean Sheet
48%
2.07
18%
5.41
Win to Nil
29%
3.44
3%
34.53
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.9 | 6.5 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.7 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 7.2 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.689
λ Away (xG)
0.729
Total xG
2.418
League avg home goals
1.283
League avg away goals
1.112
Birmingham attack strength
1.270
Birmingham defence strength
0.639
Barnsley attack strength
1.028
Barnsley defence strength
1.036
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
38 / 86