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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Oakwell

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnsley Win

39%

Barnsley

2.54

33%

Draw

3.01

27%

Stevenage

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.2%

Draw

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Barnsley xG

Total xG

1.82

0.80

Stevenage xG

39%
33%
27%
BarnsleyDrawStevenage

2.54

39%

Home win

3.01

33%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.81

64%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

45%

Barnsley

2.22

36%

Stevenage

2.77

Win to Nil

18%

Barnsley

5.64

10%

Stevenage

10.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.2 13.0 5.2 1.4 0.3
1 16.5 13.2 5.3 1.4 0.3
2 8.4 6.7 2.7 0.7 0.1
3 2.9 2.3 0.9 0.2
4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.020
λ Away (xG) 0.799
Total xG 1.819
League avg home goals 1.255
League avg away goals 1.179
Barnsley attack strength 1.104
Barnsley defence strength 1.190
Stevenage attack strength 0.569
Stevenage defence strength 0.737
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 70