Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Oakwell

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnsley Win

53%

Barnsley

1.90

23%

Draw

4.31

24%

Shrewsbury

4.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Barnsley xG

Total xG

2.98

1.16

Shrewsbury xG

53%
23%
24%
BarnsleyDrawShrewsbury

1.90

53%

Home win

4.31

23%

Draw

4.14

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.74

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

31%

Barnsley

3.19

16%

Shrewsbury

6.16

Win to Nil

16%

Barnsley

6.06

4%

Shrewsbury

25.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 5.9 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 9.2 10.7 6.2 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 5.1 5.9 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.818
λ Away (xG) 1.161
Total xG 2.979
League avg home goals 1.262
League avg away goals 1.182
Barnsley attack strength 1.073
Barnsley defence strength 1.233
Shrewsbury attack strength 0.796
Shrewsbury defence strength 1.343
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 90 / 90