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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Oakwell

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnsley Win

47%

Barnsley

2.13

24%

Draw

4.20

29%

Reading

3.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Barnsley xG

Total xG

3.00

1.30

Reading xG

47%
24%
29%
BarnsleyDrawReading

2.13

47%

Home win

4.20

24%

Draw

3.41

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

27%

Barnsley

3.66

18%

Reading

5.46

Win to Nil

13%

Barnsley

7.81

5%

Reading

18.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 6.5 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 8.5 11.0 7.1 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.2 9.4 6.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 4.1 5.3 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 2.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.698
λ Away (xG) 1.297
Total xG 2.995
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.025
Barnsley attack strength 1.170
Barnsley defence strength 1.163
Reading attack strength 1.088
Reading defence strength 1.023
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52