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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Tue 3 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Oakwell

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnsley Win

61%

Barnsley

1.64

21%

Draw

4.80

18%

Northampton

5.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

Barnsley xG

Total xG

3.07

1.03

Northampton xG

61%
21%
18%
BarnsleyDrawNorthampton

1.64

61%

Home win

4.80

21%

Draw

5.47

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

36%

Barnsley

2.79

13%

Northampton

7.73

Win to Nil

22%

Barnsley

4.59

2%

Northampton

42.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 4.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.5 9.7 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.7 9.9 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.6 6.8 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.4 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.2
5 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.045
λ Away (xG) 1.027
Total xG 3.072
League avg home goals 1.351
League avg away goals 1.091
Barnsley attack strength 1.294
Barnsley defence strength 1.250
Northampton attack strength 0.753
Northampton defence strength 1.170
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 74