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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 26 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Oakwell

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnsley Win

57%

Barnsley

1.75

23%

Draw

4.43

20%

Mansfield Town

4.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Barnsley xG

Total xG

2.86

1.01

Mansfield Town xG

57%
23%
20%
BarnsleyDrawMansfield Town

1.75

57%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

4.93

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

36%

Barnsley

2.74

16%

Mansfield Town

6.36

Win to Nil

21%

Barnsley

4.80

3%

Mansfield Town

31.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 5.8 2.9 1.0 0.2
1 10.6 10.7 5.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.8 9.9 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.1 6.1 3.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.8 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.850
λ Away (xG) 1.008
Total xG 2.858
League avg home goals 1.292
League avg away goals 1.157
Barnsley attack strength 1.344
Barnsley defence strength 1.076
Mansfield Town attack strength 0.810
Mansfield Town defence strength 1.065
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 66