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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

15:00

Venue

Oakwell

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Luton Win

32%

Barnsley

3.09

25%

Draw

4.02

43%

Luton

2.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Barnsley xG

Total xG

2.84

1.54

Luton xG

32%
25%
43%
BarnsleyDrawLuton

3.09

32%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

2.34

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

22%

Barnsley

4.65

27%

Luton

3.69

Win to Nil

7%

Barnsley

14.36

12%

Luton

8.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 9.0 6.9 3.5 1.4 0.4
1 7.6 11.7 9.0 4.6 1.8 0.5
2 5.0 7.6 5.9 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 2.2 3.3 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.305
λ Away (xG) 1.536
Total xG 2.841
League avg home goals 1.340
League avg away goals 1.037
Barnsley attack strength 1.023
Barnsley defence strength 1.236
Luton attack strength 1.198
Luton defence strength 0.952
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 15