Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

15:00

Venue

Oakwell

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnsley Win

39%

Barnsley

2.56

23%

Draw

4.28

38%

Exeter City

2.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Barnsley xG

Total xG

3.21

1.59

Exeter City xG

39%
23%
38%
BarnsleyDrawExeter City

2.56

39%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

2.66

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.77

Clean Sheet

20%

Barnsley

4.89

20%

Exeter City

5.06

Win to Nil

8%

Barnsley

12.54

7%

Exeter City

13.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 6.4 5.1 2.7 1.1 0.3
1 6.5 10.4 8.3 4.4 1.7 0.6
2 5.3 8.4 6.7 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 2.9 4.6 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.2
4 1.2 1.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.622
λ Away (xG) 1.588
Total xG 3.210
League avg home goals 1.414
League avg away goals 1.152
Barnsley attack strength 1.197
Barnsley defence strength 1.316
Exeter City attack strength 1.047
Exeter City defence strength 0.958
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 78 / 80