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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Tue 1 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Oakwell

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnsley Win

38%

Barnsley

2.63

30%

Draw

3.36

32%

Exeter City

3.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Barnsley xG

Total xG

2.26

1.07

Exeter City xG

38%
30%
32%
BarnsleyDrawExeter City

2.63

38%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

3.11

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

34%

Barnsley

2.92

30%

Exeter City

3.29

Win to Nil

13%

Barnsley

7.68

10%

Exeter City

10.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 11.1 6.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 12.4 13.3 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.4 7.9 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.9 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.192
λ Away (xG) 1.073
Total xG 2.265
League avg home goals 1.268
League avg away goals 1.111
Barnsley attack strength 0.980
Barnsley defence strength 1.314
Exeter City attack strength 0.735
Exeter City defence strength 0.960
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 84