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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 39

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

15:00

Venue

Oakwell

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnsley Win

54%

Barnsley

1.85

23%

Draw

4.28

23%

Doncaster

4.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Barnsley xG

Total xG

2.84

1.06

Doncaster xG

54%
23%
23%
BarnsleyDrawDoncaster

1.85

54%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

4.41

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

35%

Barnsley

2.90

17%

Doncaster

5.88

Win to Nil

19%

Barnsley

5.37

4%

Doncaster

25.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 6.2 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.4 11.1 5.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.2 9.8 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.4 5.8 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.772
λ Away (xG) 1.064
Total xG 2.836
League avg home goals 1.404
League avg away goals 1.183
Barnsley attack strength 1.118
Barnsley defence strength 1.161
Doncaster attack strength 0.774
Doncaster defence strength 1.129
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 82 / 37