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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 22 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Oakwell

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnsley Win

45%

Barnsley

2.21

25%

Draw

3.96

30%

Cambridge United

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Barnsley xG

Total xG

2.88

1.26

Cambridge United xG

45%
25%
30%
BarnsleyDrawCambridge United

2.21

45%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

3.39

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

28%

Barnsley

3.54

20%

Cambridge United

5.04

Win to Nil

13%

Barnsley

7.82

6%

Cambridge United

17.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 7.1 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 9.1 11.5 7.2 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.3 9.3 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.0 5.0 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.617
λ Away (xG) 1.264
Total xG 2.881
League avg home goals 1.267
League avg away goals 1.122
Barnsley attack strength 1.014
Barnsley defence strength 1.337
Cambridge United attack strength 0.843
Cambridge United defence strength 1.258
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 83 / 83