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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Oakwell

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnsley Win

42%

Barnsley

2.41

27%

Draw

3.74

32%

Burton Albion

3.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Barnsley xG

Total xG

2.51

1.15

Burton Albion xG

42%
27%
32%
BarnsleyDrawBurton Albion

2.41

42%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.15

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

32%

Barnsley

3.17

26%

Burton Albion

3.90

Win to Nil

13%

Barnsley

7.63

8%

Burton Albion

12.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 9.3 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.0 12.7 7.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.5 8.6 5.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.4 3.9 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.361
λ Away (xG) 1.154
Total xG 2.515
League avg home goals 1.316
League avg away goals 1.139
Barnsley attack strength 1.034
Barnsley defence strength 1.121
Burton Albion attack strength 0.903
Burton Albion defence strength 1.001
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47