Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

20:00

Venue

Racecourse Ground

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wrexham Win

44%

Wrexham

2.26

28%

Draw

3.62

28%

Birmingham

3.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Wrexham xG

Total xG

2.54

1.10

Birmingham xG

44%
28%
28%
WrexhamDrawBirmingham

2.26

44%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.55

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

33%

Wrexham

3.01

24%

Birmingham

4.23

Win to Nil

15%

Wrexham

6.80

7%

Birmingham

15.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 8.7 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.3 12.5 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.0 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.9 4.3 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.442
λ Away (xG) 1.101
Total xG 2.543
League avg home goals 1.204
League avg away goals 1.176
Wrexham attack strength 0.944
Wrexham defence strength 1.411
Birmingham attack strength 0.663
Birmingham defence strength 1.270
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 8 / 8