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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 16 Jan 2026

20:00

Venue

The Hawthorns

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

West Brom Win

42%

West Brom

2.38

28%

Draw

3.55

30%

Middlesbrough

3.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

West Brom xG

Total xG

2.43

1.09

Middlesbrough xG

42%
28%
30%
West BromDrawMiddlesbrough

2.38

42%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

3.36

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

34%

West Brom

2.97

26%

Middlesbrough

3.84

Win to Nil

14%

West Brom

7.06

8%

Middlesbrough

12.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 9.5 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.8 12.8 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 7.9 8.6 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.6 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.345
λ Away (xG) 1.089
Total xG 2.434
League avg home goals 1.393
League avg away goals 1.129
West Brom attack strength 0.998
West Brom defence strength 0.987
Middlesbrough attack strength 0.977
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.968
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72