West Brom 0-0 Blackburn – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates West Brom at 38%, yet other data sources diverge — this West Brom vs Blackburn fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Championship encounter, Regular Season - 32 sees Blackburn travel to The Hawthorns to take on West Brom. The game is scheduled for Monday 14 February 2022, 20:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, West Brom stand at 3W 2D 5L from 10 Championship matches — 1.10 PPG. Last five: L W L L L. They are averaging 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.00 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in only 20% of their games — a low BTTS rate that suggests clean sheets are a regular occurrence.
West Brom's form when playing at home: 6W 3D 1L across 10 games at The Hawthorns this term (2.10 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.30 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 6 clean sheets from 10 home games (60%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at The Hawthorns. At home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle. Their home PPG of 2.10 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.10 — West Brom are significantly better at The Hawthorns than their overall form suggests.
Across all Championship games this season, Blackburn have recorded 5W 2D 3L from 10 outings — 1.70 PPG. Last five: L W D L L. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 0.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Defensively, 0.60 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 6 clean sheets from 10 games (60%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. Both teams have scored in only 10% of their fixtures — a very low rate that strongly backs BTTS No.
When travelling in Championship this season, Blackburn have posted 4W 2D 4L from 10 away outings — 1.40 PPG. Away from home they average 0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
The form data does not support a straightforward home bias here. Blackburn are 0.60 PPG ahead (1.70 vs 1.10), making them the form-guided selection despite the trip.
On the goals front, neither side scores or concedes freely enough to make BTTS Yes the call. West Brom's 30% rate and Blackburn's 30% (using home/away splits) both sit well below average — BTTS No is the form-backed angle.
H2H
The H2H landscape is flat: 1 previous encounters have yielded 1 wins for West Brom, 0 for Blackburn and 0 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
The 1 previous encounters between these sides have been high-scoring affairs — 3.0 goals per contest on average. Historical precedent backs the Over 2.5 goals market. The most recent clash, on 21 Aug 2021, ended 2–1 with West Brom winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
In-Play Data
West Brom trading profile (30 games, 14 at home): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; BTTS occurs in 36% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 36% of games (home games); they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time; they fail to score in 40% of games.
Blackburn trading profile (30 games, 14 at away): they score before half-time in 64% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 73% of the time; BTTS occurs in 43% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 29% of games (away games); they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — West Brom 33% versus Blackburn 43%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (West Brom 37% | Blackburn 43%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects West Brom 0.88 xG and Blackburn 0.69 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: West Brom attack 0.888 / defence 0.920 | Blackburn attack 0.689 / defence 0.912. League average goals — home 1.091 / away 1.093. Data: 30 West Brom games / 31 Blackburn games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: West Brom 38% | Draw 35% | Blackburn 27%. Fair-value odds: West Brom 2.63 | Draw 2.86 | Blackburn 3.70. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 35% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 21% | BTTS probability 29% | Total xG 1.58. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 79% probability — total xG of 1.58 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS No has firm model support at 71% — Blackburn's lower xG of 0.69 creates a meaningful probability of a scoring blank, which suppresses the BTTS Yes probability to 29%.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, West Brom are the pick at 38% — marginal model lean. Note a divergence: in-form Blackburn (1.70 PPG) cuts against the Poisson lean — consider the strength-adjusted model over surface-level form results. With a 35% draw probability, Draw No Bet on West Brom offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 1.58 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 21% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 1.7 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 29%. Form rates corroborate: West Brom 30% | Blackburn 30% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: West Brom vs Blackburn | Competition: Championship, Regular Season - 32 | Venue: The Hawthorns • Kick-off: Monday 14 Feb 2022, 20:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: West Brom 38% | Draw 35% | Blackburn 27% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 21% | BTTS 29% | xG West Brom 0.88 / Blackburn 0.69 • Poisson strength factors: West Brom attack 0.888 / def 0.920 | Blackburn attack 0.689 / def 0.912 | league avg home 1.091 / away 1.093 • Poisson stance: West Brom (38%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.88
West Brom xG
Expected Goals
0.69
Blackburn xG
29%
BTTS
47%
Over 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
8%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does West Brom vs Blackburn kick off?
West Brom vs Blackburn kicked off at 20:00 on Monday 14 February 2022 at The Hawthorns.
What was the final score in West Brom vs Blackburn?
West Brom 0 - 0 Blackburn.
Where is West Brom vs Blackburn being played?
The match is being played at The Hawthorns.
What competition is West Brom vs Blackburn part of?
West Brom vs Blackburn is a Regular Season - 32 fixture in the Championship (England).
Who is favourite to win West Brom vs Blackburn?
Our statistical model gives West Brom a 38% chance of winning, Blackburn a 27% chance, and a 35% chance of a draw — making West Brom the favourite.
Will both teams score in West Brom vs Blackburn?
Our model estimates a 29% probability that both West Brom and Blackburn will score (BTTS).
Will West Brom vs Blackburn have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 21%.
What is the head-to-head record between West Brom and Blackburn?
Record (1 meetings): West Brom 1W | Draws 0 | Blackburn 0W.
What form are West Brom and Blackburn in?
West Brom (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 0.70 / GA 1.00 | L5 L-W-L-L-L. Blackburn (all comps): 5W-2D-3L in 10 | 1.70 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 0.60 | L5 L-W-D-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates West Brom's attack at 0.89x the league average against Blackburn's defence at 0.91x — combine the two and it projects 0.88 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Blackburn's attack versus West Brom's defence, projects 0.69 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 30/31 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 0-0 carries the highest individual probability at 22.3% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-0 (16.6%), 1-1 (14.3%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 53% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
West Brom Win
38%
2.64
35%
2.82
27%
3.73
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
20.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
18.3%
Home win
0 – 1
14.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.88
West Brom xG
Total xG
1.58
0.69
Blackburn xG
2.64
38%
Home win
2.82
35%
Draw
3.73
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
47%
Over 1.5
2.13
53%
Under 1.5
1.89
21%
Over 2.5
4.76
79%
Under 2.5
1.27
8%
Over 3.5
12.50
92%
Under 3.5
1.09
2%
Over 4.5
50.00
98%
Under 4.5
1.02
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
29%
BTTS Yes
3.41
71%
BTTS No
1.41
Clean Sheet
50%
2.00
41%
2.42
Win to Nil
19%
5.28
11%
9.04
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.7 | 14.3 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 18.3 | 12.7 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 8.1 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for West Brom vs Blackburn?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 22.3%.
How many goals are West Brom and Blackburn expected to score?
The model projects 0.88 expected goals for West Brom and 0.69 for Blackburn, a combined total of 1.58.
How confident is the prediction model for West Brom vs Blackburn?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 38%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
West Brom's recent record stands at 12W 9D 9L from 30 games, a 1.50 PPG return, with L-W-L-L-L in the last five.
Blackburn, meanwhile, have gone 14W 8D 8L across 30 games — 1.67 PPG, with L-W-D-L-L in their last five.
Form-wise this is close to level: West Brom on 1.50 PPG, Blackburn on 1.67. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
At home specifically, West Brom have managed 8W 5D 1L from 14 games — 2.07 PPG in front of their own supporters. That's noticeably better than their 1.50 PPG overall — West Brom are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
Blackburn's away record stands at 5W 4D 5L across 14 trips, a 1.36 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, West Brom come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
West Brom are averaging 1.13 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game recently; Blackburn are on 1.43 scored and 1.07 conceded.
Defensively: West Brom have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games; Blackburn in 40% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 30 Results — Championship
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
West Brom
Current Season
Blackburn
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are West Brom and Blackburn in coming into this match?
West Brom have gone 12W 9D 9L in their last 30 games (1.50 PPG), while Blackburn have gone 14W 8D 8L in their last 30 (1.67 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — West Brom at home or Blackburn away?
West Brom's home record (2.07 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — West Brom at home: 2.07 PPG; Blackburn away: 1.36 PPG.
Have West Brom or Blackburn been keeping clean sheets recently?
West Brom have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their recent games, Blackburn in 40%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to August 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Championship. They last met on 6 April 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 13 Jan 2024, when West Brom won 4-1 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
West Brom's record when hosting Blackburn specifically: 2W 2D 1L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
3
West Brom
4
Draws
3
Blackburn
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between West Brom and Blackburn?
From 10 meetings on record, West Brom have won 3, Blackburn have won 3, and 4 have been drawn.
When did West Brom and Blackburn last play each other?
They last met on 6 April 2026, when Blackburn 0-0 West Brom.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
West Brom see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 21% of those situations.
Blackburn are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 64% of their matches.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — West Brom 36%, Blackburn 43% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 36% for West Brom and 29% for Blackburn.
On the defensive side: West Brom keep a clean sheet in 57% of their matches; Blackburn in 36%; Blackburn in 36%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = West Brom home games / Blackburn away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when West Brom play Blackburn?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 36% of West Brom's recent matches and 43% of Blackburn's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is West Brom vs Blackburn usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 36% of West Brom's recent games and 29% of Blackburn's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do West Brom and Blackburn tend to score early?
West Brom have had a goal before half-time in 50% of their recent matches, Blackburn in 64% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at West Brom's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at The Hawthorns, Regular Season - 32, as West Brom and Blackburn drew 0-0 in the Championship. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting West Brom 0.88 xG and Blackburn 0.69 xG, a combined 1.58. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. West Brom fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of West Brom attack 0.89 / defence 0.92 against Blackburn attack 0.69 / defence 0.91, drawn from 30/31 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it West Brom 38% | Draw 35% | Blackburn 27%, with West Brom to win its most likely call at 38%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 35%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 21%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 47% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 29% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 40% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (West Brom 37%, Blackburn 43%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 38%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
West Brom's trading profile (30 games, 14 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 33% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 40% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Blackburn's trading profile (30 games, 14 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 43% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 27% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — West Brom 1.50 PPG, Blackburn 1.67 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. West Brom (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.50 scoring average — below par going forward. Blackburn (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.93 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.93 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.